Altcoin Season Could Begin in October, 3 Signals You Shouldn’t Ignore

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It’s been a brutal cycle for altcoins. Bitcoin has taken center stage, dominating the narrative and capital flows, while altcoin holders continue to watch their portfolios stagnate, or worse, bleed.

While Bitcoin continues to surge and is sticking above $100k, altcoins have only seen two brief rallies in March and November 2024.

But according to crypto analyst Crypto Decoder, several under-the-radar signals now suggest that a broader alt season could be setting up, even if it’s not here just yet.

Altseason is delayed this cycle. Only a handful of alts pump while the rest keep bleeding against Bitcoin.
Just dropped a new video breaking down the key macro indicators to watch for a reversal, and when our alt bags might finally pump.

Watch here https://t.co/zBLsBNt9lq pic.twitter.com/2sI8wWrHHa

— Crypto Decoder (@Cryptodecoder0x) July 8, 2025

Dollar Weakness Could Set the Stage

One of the most important signs comes from the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Crypto Decoder highlights that when the dollar weakens, altcoins often gain massive momentum. In 2017, a sharp drop in the DXY led to a 285x explosion in altcoin market cap. In 2021, a similar move sparked a 17x rally.

This pattern ties closely to U.S. monetary policy, when the Federal Reserve loosens financial conditions and borrowing gets easier, investors typically move into riskier assets. Bitcoin is usually the first stop, followed by altcoins.

Right now, the DXY is showing signs of fading strength and has failed to break above the 109 mark. If it falls below key support levels, it could trigger renewed interest in altcoins. Still, Decoder cautions that a real shift in Fed policy will likely be needed before we see any explosive price action.

Check out This Hidden Macro Indicator

Another strong but lesser-known signal is the copper-to-gold ratio. This metric reflects investor sentiment. When copper outperforms gold, it suggests a growing risk appetite in the market. According to the analyst, the ratio has just bounced from multi-year lows and climbed above its 20-week EMA, an early signal that conditions are becoming favorable for altcoins, much like what happened before the 2017 and 2020 rallies.

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,

Ethereum Leads the Way

ETH outperformed BTC last quarter, first time since Q4 2022. With institutional flows finally coming in, ETH is showing real strength against Bitcoin after years of bleeding out. Remember, ETH doing well is good news for our bags. Not ready to comment on SEASONality just yet. pic.twitter.com/baaFFulWnl

— Crypto Decoder (@Cryptodecoder0x) July 6, 2025

Ethereum’s recent performance also adds to the bullish case. ETH has started outperforming Bitcoin for the first time since late 2022. This comeback, powered by over $2 billion in ETF inflows since May 2025, hints at growing institutional interest. Since ETH holds over 50% of DeFi TVL and drives liquidity for altcoins, its strength often leads to broader altcoin gains.

Altcoin Season Could Heat Up in Q4

Although August and September may bring more sideways action, analyst believes the real opportunity may arrive in Q4. If the Fed cuts rates in September, and macro signals hold up, October could mirror past post-halving rallies.

Supporting this view, analyst Michaël van de Poppe notes that the Altcoin Season Index has once again bottomed in June, just like it did before previous major alt rallies. With the bull cycle in motion and easing expected, he sees potential for a much bigger altcoin surge by Q4, like it happened in 2023.

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FAQs

When will the next altcoin season start?

Analysts expect a major altcoin rally to begin in Q4 2025, especially if the Fed cuts rates and macro signals remain bullish.

How does a weak U.S. dollar affect altcoins?

A weakening dollar often boosts altcoins, as it signals looser monetary policy and rising investor risk appetite.

What triggers altcoin season historically?

Altcoin seasons typically follow Bitcoin rallies, DXY drops, Fed rate cuts, and rising ETH dominance.

Altcoin Season Could Begin in October, 3 Signals You Shouldn’t Ignore

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Altcoin Season Could Begin in October, 3 Signals You Shouldn’t Ignore

Dollar Weakness Could Set the Stage

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Ethereum Leads the Way

Altcoin Season Could Heat Up in Q4

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